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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)66% (4106–2155, n=6261)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$21K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #946PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus70% (83 of 118 open)65% (55 of 84 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $14—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476Under $30—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440Warriors $28—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $46—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $213Over $6—
McNeese State Cowboys vs. North Texas Mean Green
opposite sides · consensus North Texas Mean Green
McNeese State Cowboys $51North Texas Mean Green $17—
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $34Bilibili Gaming $15—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13KUnder $40—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6KUnder $62—
Albany Great Danes vs. Manhattan Jaspers
same side · consensus Manhattan Jaspers
Manhattan Jaspers $1.6KManhattan Jaspers $18—
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1KJoao Lucas Da Silva $24—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $192Warriors $35—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $159Dolphins $11—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8Under $12—