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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)66% (4115–2157, n=6272)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$21K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #899PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)70% (300 of 427 open)64% (176 of 277 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

74 on the same side, 100 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9Xprimm
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $40KYes $110—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $31KOver $25—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $29KYes $48—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $21KOver $56—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $20KNo $14—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $15KOver $23—
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $18—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $28—
Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $10KAC Milan $2—
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.1KYes $29—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.5KYes $36—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.4KOver $7—
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $7.0KAC Milan $11—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KOver $15—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.2KOver $11—
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.3KNo $120—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.3KOver $17—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.9KYes $15—
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $203—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.1KOver $48—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $14—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $3.0KBayer 04 Leverkusen $7—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.0KOver $67—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9KNo $24—
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.9KUnder $13—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $15—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $104—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8KYes $4—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KOver $15—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $48—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $30—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $21—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $14—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $18—
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK
—Qairat FK $1.0KAtalanta BC $4—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—KKS Lech Poznań $933Sport Lisboa e Benfica $13—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $795Over $21—
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aarhus GF
—Aarhus GF $734SC Braga $34—
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $710Over $52—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $717Max Hans Rehberg $4—
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $674No $14—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $645Over $34—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $673Over $2—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $655Yes $19—
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Crvena zvezda
—Inter Club d'Escaldes $575FK Crvena zvezda $39—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $548Yes $46—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $550Yes $36—
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $254No $307—
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $496Over $34—
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $468Over $57—