Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1Pan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)63% (989–572, n=1561)66% (4108–2159, n=6267)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$21K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #104PM monthly #883PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus74% (119 of 160 open)69% (61 of 88 open)61% (64 of 105 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1Pan9Xprimm
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $73—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Thiago Monteiro $3.6K—Marco Cecchinato $18—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $80—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $112—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $60—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $361—Over $154—
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $3James Madison $465
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440—Warriors $28—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $213—Over $6—
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
Penguins $116—Bruins $4—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $79—Warriors $19—
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $30—Bilibili Gaming $15—
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bruins
Penguins $6—Bruins $18—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $53—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $105—
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars $2.3K—South Alabama Jaguars $13—
Albany Great Danes vs. Manhattan Jaspers
same side · consensus Manhattan Jaspers
Manhattan Jaspers $1.6K—Manhattan Jaspers $18—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499—No $252—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $586—Under $2—
McNeese State Cowboys vs. North Texas Mean Green
same side · consensus North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green $450—North Texas Mean Green $53—
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
same side · consensus Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores $463—Vanderbilt Commodores $18—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $7James Madison $330
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
James Kent Trotter $300—James Kent Trotter $16—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $174—Warriors $35—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $159—Dolphins $11—
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marist Red Foxes
same side · consensus Marist Red Foxes
Marist Red Foxes $67—Marist Red Foxes $6—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17—Under $9—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8—Under $12—
Spread: Penn State Nittany Lions (-12.5)
same side · consensus Chattanooga Mocs
Penn State Nittany Lions $10—Penn State Nittany Lions $3—
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Merrimack College Warriors
same side · consensus Merrimack College Warriors
Merrimack College Warriors $8—Merrimack College Warriors $5—