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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpPan9XprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)65% (4204–2223, n=6427)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #980PM monthly #51PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (112 of 140 open)58% (37 of 64 open)no open consensus position52% (16 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpPan9XprimmRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14KYes $73—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KUnder $53—Over $1.6K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $3.6KKasidit Samrej $6—Coleman Wong $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586Under $2—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $81—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KUnder $105—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476Under $60—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466No $112—No $529
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sydney FC
Sydney FC $3.4KCentral Coast Mariners FC $56——
Will Dewa United win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9K——No $106
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $281——Ipek Oz $679
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $618Maria Sakkari $12——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $361Over $154——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $213Over $6——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $45Ben Shelton $31——
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Maxim Mrva
Maxim Mrva $45Matteo Martineau $14——
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Laslo Djere
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $15Laslo Djere $17——
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $5—Angela Fita Boluda $15
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7KNo $16——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Psim Yogyakarta win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $717——No $881
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
Martha MATOULA $301——Martha MATOULA $1.0K
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
Nuria Brancaccio $40——Nuria Brancaccio $1.2K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $494No $249——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $444——Under $48
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $52—Over $360
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus PARIVISION
Natus Vincere $199Natus Vincere $18——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $159Dolphins $11——
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $81Noma Noha Akugue $33——
M25 Valencia: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
same side · consensus Svyatoslav Gulin
Svyatoslav Gulin $88——Svyatoslav Gulin $9