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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 68% (208–98, n=306) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $3.3M | $4.6M | -$105K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #108 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (93 of 121 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 51% (185 of 363 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 11% (won 38% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 12% (won 91% of 23) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 64% (won 99% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.