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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmVenusian
Record (consensus markets)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)63% (992–576, n=1568)50% (1114–1128, n=2242)48% (1188–1265, n=2453)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$3.6M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #92PM monthly #49PM monthly #473
Sides with the consensus76% (85 of 112 open)70% (52 of 74 open)no open consensus position53% (8 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 760 at avg 72¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)17% (won 100% of 131)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)18% (won 100% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)58% (won 100% of 439)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmVenusian
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
opposite sides · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki $6.5K——Alexandre Muller $74
Will FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $339——Yes $4
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $254——Over $3
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132——Yes $96
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $199——Over $203
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $271——Over $4
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $239——Yes $4