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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1sainttroplayVenusian
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)no settled market52% (852–791, n=1643)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M—$57K
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #139—PM monthly #360
Sides with the consensus65% (265 of 408 open)73% (33 of 45 open)no open consensus position43% (81 of 187 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)—6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)—16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)—23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)—55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 74 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1sainttroplayVenusian
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $115K——No $148
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $30K——Under $133
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus AEK
AEK $28K——Real Madrid CF $88
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $24K——Yes $111
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $22K——Under $1.0K
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig $21K——Manchester City FC $198
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17K——Under $74
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $16K——Over $8
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig $15K——Manchester City FC $56
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K——Under $5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13K——No $308
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.0K——Under $7.6K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $10K——Over $1
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Betis Balompié
Real Betis Balompié $8.9K——BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $622
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2K——No $145
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.0K——Under $24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.4K——Yes $250
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.2K——No $286
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.7K——Under $511
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $3.8K
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——No $3.7K
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.6K——Yes $29
Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.7K——Yes $473
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K——Yes $1.5K
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.5K——Under $852
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $343
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.1K——Over $3
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester City FC
Manchester City FC $3.0K——RB Leipzig $8
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester City FC
Manchester City FC $2.9K——RB Leipzig $119
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.4K——Under $14
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha
SK Slavia Praha $2.2K——Arsenal FC $10
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3K——No $826
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14——No $2.0K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Under $3
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7K——Under $119
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $47
Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha
SK Slavia Praha $1.4K——Arsenal FC $4
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $26
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $58
Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabah FK
Sabah FK $437——Viking FK $519
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $896——Under $6
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Solana Sierra $286——Leyre Romero Gormaz $604
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $68——Under $712
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36——No $686
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $664——Under $20
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $57——No $556
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $513——Under $52
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $291——No $265
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $520——Como 1907 $26
Exact Score: FC Porto 4 - 0 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $142——No $387