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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmS-Workstrgparking
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)55% (835–691, n=1526)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.6M$3.8M$550K
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #44PM monthly #54PM monthly #685
Sides with the consensus72% (99 of 137 open)40% (2 of 5 open)78% (7 of 9 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%52% of 1460 at avg 51¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)22% (won 16% of 314)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)27% (won 35% of 401)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)28% (won 62% of 410)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)23% (won 94% of 335)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmS-Workstrgparking
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Bilibili Gaming $153KT1 $5
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.6K—Over $44K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
——T1 $863KT1 $100K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $383K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $1.3K—Pelicans $52K—