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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6656–6887, n=13543) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$349K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 35% (17 of 48 open) | 61% (92 of 150 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | Under $319 | — | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | Under $2.5K | — | — |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $480 | Under $640 | — | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | Under $5 | — | — |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $727 | No $94 | — | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $179 | No $15 | — | — |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $386 | Yes $5.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | Jets $257 | — | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.2K | Falcons $884 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $72 | Over $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.1K | Cowboys $21 | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $726 | Steelers $91 | — | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $207 | Yes $320 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2 | Under $213 | — | — |
| Elche CF leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $69 | Yes $89 | — | — |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $47 | Yes $52 | — | — |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7 | Over $6 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | Yes $4 | — | — |