← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (13 of 35 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 50% (9 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $6.8K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.5K | — | — | Over $22 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $4 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Chiefs $2 | — | — | Broncos $247 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $834 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Rams $2.6K | — | — | Rams $849 |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Rams | Chargers $1.0K | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |