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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GeorgeReBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (762–696, n=1458)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$160K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #233 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (74 of 103 open)62% (91 of 146 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 1214 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 54% of 50)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 79% of 383)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 90% of 622)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 94% of 159)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGeorgeReBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—