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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTradingBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2951–2450, n=5401)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$11K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus49% (86 of 174 open)73% (72 of 99 open)25% (1 of 4 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTradingBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.4K
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $115Magic $76K——
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $125Magic $24K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $3Magic $13K——
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
DENDELE CS $5—Imperial $7.9K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2Magic $51K——
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $32——Chargers $1.1K