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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | CORGII | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (21 of 44 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (14 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | CORGII | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers vs. Rams opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $1.3K | — | — | Rams $123 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $944 | — | — | Ravens $295 |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $157 | — | — | Rams $4 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $10K | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.0K | — | — | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $435 | — | — | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $47 | — | — | Over $8 |