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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | RN1 | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (15 of 32 open) | 64% (16 of 25 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 53% (9 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | RN1 | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $51 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $2.2K | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $157 | — | — | Rams $4 |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Rams | Chargers $1.3K | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | — | Over $22 |