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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HerrieDavis | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (925–2522, n=3447) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$755K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #673 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (149 of 197 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 2295 at avg 53¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 30% of 698) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 93% of 246) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 98% of 385) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 966) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HerrieDavis | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $71 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | — | Yes $68 |