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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3505–2989, n=6494) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (15 of 17 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $35K | — | Commanders $188K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $39K | Commanders $2.3K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $31K | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-14.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $25K | Eagles $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $4.4K | Eagles $6.3K | — | — |