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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (4887–4313, n=9200) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.8M | $3.2M | $14.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (21 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 49% (21 of 43 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3576 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 96% of 45) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 99% of 1066) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 1742) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 723) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $8.9K | — | Cavaliers $111 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $3.5K | — | Cavaliers $708 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.4K | — | Lakers $210 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $3 | — | Lakers $282 | — |
| Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.8K | — | Over $238 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $1.9K | — | Lakers $134 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Lakers $216 | — | Lakers $248 | — |