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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ImJustKen | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 28% (418–1099, n=1517) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #800 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (93 of 141 open) | 38% (5 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 1655 at avg 33¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 62% (won 6% of 1022) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 63% of 95) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 80% of 81) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 457) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ImJustKen | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | — | Yes $15K |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | — | — | Yes $296 |