← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ImJustKen | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 28% (416–1096, n=1512) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #800 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (93 of 143 open) | 70% (16 of 23 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 38% of 1655 at avg 33¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 62% (won 6% of 1022) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 63% of 95) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 80% of 81) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 457) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ImJustKen | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $321 | — | Yes $4.2K | — |