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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JJo | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (678–426, n=1104) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $268K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (33 of 36 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=291 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1361 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 422) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 32% of 88) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 59% of 92) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 759) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JJo | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | No $411K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.5K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $10 | No $214K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $820 | No $90K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $7.2K | No $40K | — | — |