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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JJo | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (679–426, n=1105) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $270K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (34 of 38 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=296 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1366 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 424) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 32% of 88) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 59% of 92) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 762) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JJo | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | No $444K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | Yes $39K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.5K | Yes $1.4K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $48K | No $166K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | Yes $171K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $820 | No $101K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $7.1K | No $40K | — | — |