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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JJo | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (688–424, n=1112) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $271K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (35 of 39 open) | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 80% (57 of 71 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=296 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1366 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 7% of 424) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 32% of 88) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 59% of 92) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 762) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JJo | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.9K | — | No $622K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $22K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $48K | — | No $118K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.6K | Commanders $161K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $860 | — | No $112K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |