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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JSG3 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (16–12, n=28) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #475 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (15 of 17 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 28 at avg 58¢, ROI +11% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 8) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 70% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 63% of 8) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JSG3 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $57K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $109K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | No $32K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | Yes $270K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35 | Yes $14K | — | — |