← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JSG3 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (16–12, n=28) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #475 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (15 of 17 open) | 58% (15 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 28 at avg 58¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 70% of 10) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 63% of 8) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JSG3 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $57K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $109K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | — | Yes $270K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | — | Commanders $161K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | — | Commanders $32K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55 | — | — | Yes $21K |