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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Jellow2 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (191–91, n=282) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) |
| Consensus PnL | $134K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #617 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (11 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (143 of 160 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −5 pts, n=38 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 467 at avg 68¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 13% of 76) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 41% of 41) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 61% of 70) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 93% of 280) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Jellow2 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $28K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.6K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $219 | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $475 | — | No $26K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | Yes $170K | — |