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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Jellow2 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (191–91, n=282) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $133K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #617 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (11 of 12 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −5 pts, n=38 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 467 at avg 68¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 13% of 76) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 41% of 41) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 61% of 70) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 93% of 280) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Jellow2 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $29K | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.1K | Yes $38K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | No $35K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $219 | Yes $28K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $475 | No $16K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | Yes $172K | — |