← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (57 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Andre Souza $12 | — | — | Wilson Leite $12K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $34 | — | — | No $4.1K |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | — | No $26K |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $272 | — | — | No $6.7K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $417 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $323 | — | — | No $516 |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $20 | — | — | Yes $108 |