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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Loyalty-Crash | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (32–21, n=53) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (19 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 63 at avg 53¢, ROI +16% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 28% of 18) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 63% of 8) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 75% of 12) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 88% of 25) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Loyalty-Crash | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.7K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $694 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $43K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | Yes $72K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.4K | — | Yes $2.2K | — |