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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LuckyLooRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)49% (7890–8168, n=16058)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$59K$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #328PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus54% (38 of 70 open)64% (21 of 33 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3524 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 99% of 352)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 766)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 798)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 100% of 1608)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLuckyLooRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $5.5K——Chiefs $152K
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $966Under $9.2K——
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $29Under $954——
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $41——Magic $76K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228—Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161—Magic $13K
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $20No $3.3K——
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $260No $2.2K——