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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MadridTimeRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)50% (792–780, n=1572)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.0K$14.8M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #789PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus52% (65 of 126 open)64% (104 of 163 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 100% of 201)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMadridTimeRN1sainttroplay
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Novak Djokovic
Rinky Hijikata $15KNovak Djokovic $29K—
Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
opposite sides · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi $4.2KWeronika Falkowska $8.0K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $87Yes $12K—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $742Carole Monnet $2—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $453No $30—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $80Yes $390—
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympiakós SFP
Stade Rennais FC 1901 $79Olympiakós SFP $104—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5Yes $101—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $55No $31—
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
Hernan Casanova $12Juan Manuel La Serna $13—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $1.9KDaniil Medvedev $36K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $11KNo $146—
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
AEK $5.1KAEK $5.5K—
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $506Matej Dodig $9.0K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $18Under $4.7K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $212No $3.6K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $15Under $3.1K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $349Under $1.5K—
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
Yasmine Kabbaj $1.2KYasmine Kabbaj $9—
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $265Yes $588—
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $526Yes $231—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $65No $12—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1Over $31—