Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)49% (951–992, n=1943)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$12K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #612PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (203 of 291 open)52% (62 of 120 open)59% (20 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)19% (won 100% of 94)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2KNo $586Yes $5.4K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $90Ryan Nijboer $60Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Philip Henning $1.0KPhilip Henning $1.1KPhilip Henning $8.0K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2KOver $3.9KOver $1.9K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $12No $2.0K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $270Over $6Over $686
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $19KNo $65—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6KNo $538—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.0KOver $92—
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KNo $561—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $824AFC Bournemouth $28—
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
GenOne $2—Brute $523
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $401Over $9—
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $363Over $36—
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $24No $318—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $230Over $60—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $259Under $26—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $33—Ivan Gakhov $207
Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lillestrøm SK
Lillestrøm SK $48FC Viktoria Plzeň $185—
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Utah $211Canadiens $2—
Will Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $122Yes $50—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $108Under $4—
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $72No $18—
W35 Orlando, FL: Yara Bartashevich vs Dasha Ivanova
opposite sides · consensus Dasha Ivanova
Yara Bartashevich $64Dasha Ivanova $11—
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FC Lugano $3FK Kauno Žalgiris $59—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $47Over $15—
Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Thun
Heart of Midlothian FC $48FC Thun $12—
FK Crvena zvezda leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6No $47—
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40No $10—
Atalanta BC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $37No $3—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9Under $28—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1No $25—
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12Over $7—
W15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Jantje Tilbuerger vs Jensen Diianni
opposite sides · consensus Jantje Tilbuerger
Jantje Tilbuerger $4Jensen Diianni $1—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—Yes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Brighton & Hove Albion FC $8.0KBrighton & Hove Albion FC $247—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $7.2KNo $308—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.0KNo $3.3K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5KNo $1.8K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.1KNo $2.0K—
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6KNo $24—