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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MaxVisionBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (53–67, n=120)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$12K$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)73% (73 of 100 open)25% (1 of 4 open)53% (57 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −23 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won44% of 136 at avg 41¢, ROI +8%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 19% of 63)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 18)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 54% of 26)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 90% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMaxVisionBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161