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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NatoAlfistaRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (4078–4117, n=8195)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$26K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)71% (15 of 21 open)25% (1 of 4 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 2419 at avg 46¢, ROI +43%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 81% of 261)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 94% of 1153)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 97% of 993)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 83% of 12)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNatoAlfistaRN1CORGIIprimm
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $246—B8 $22K—
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $75Steelers $9.1K——
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $40——Rams $849
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $89——Broncos $6.8K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $104——Over $3.0K
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Patriots $148——Patriots $1.8K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $70——Patriots $1.3K
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $40——Dolphins $1.1K
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $73——Rams $4
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $10——Over $7