← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Nooserac | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (5295–4850, n=10145) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (39 of 44 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −1 pts, n=164 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 10079 at avg 51¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 19% of 1318) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 46% of 3587) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 3497) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 85% of 1677) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.