← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NyetRisk | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (12–7, n=19) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #354 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (116 of 158 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 65% (13 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 23 at avg 14¢, ROI +24% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 78% (won 50% of 18) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NyetRisk | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $82K | Commanders $65 |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $125 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $28 | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $103 | Yes $68 | — | — |