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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Optimus- | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (985–629, n=1614) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) |
| Consensus PnL | $91K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (33 of 58 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −4 pts, n=48 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 1605 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 18% of 473) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 43% of 242) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 65% of 314) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 93% of 576) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Optimus- | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | No $202K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | Yes $1.4K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $81 | — | No $607 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.0K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.0K | — | Yes $171K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $451 | — | Yes $72K | — |