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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Oriya123BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (2–1, n=3)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$23K$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #787PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)72% (74 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)65% (98 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 36¢, ROI +60%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢100% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketOriya123BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255K—Steelers $5.5K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Jets $192
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $11K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17K—Jets $400
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6K—Buccaneers $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104K—Raiders $2.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35K—Cardinals $714
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Raiders $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20K—Jaguars $643