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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Parz1vaI | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (2208–813, n=3021) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $779K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #393 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (40 of 48 open) | 72% (77 of 107 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=126 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 3745 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 9% of 720) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 40% of 323) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 62% of 517) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 95% of 2185) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Parz1vaI | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $39K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | Yes $967 | — | — |