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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| PotatoKotato | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (143–82, n=225) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $29K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (55 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 190 at avg 63¢, ROI +10% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 18% of 33) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 61% of 31) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 81% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 89) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | PotatoKotato | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $7.2K | Commanders $65 | — | Commanders $82K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | — | No $34K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | — | Commanders $32K |