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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RLWGRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)49% (5910–6260, n=12170)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$17K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #645PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus53% (28 of 53 open)70% (16 of 23 open)25% (1 of 4 open)47% (9 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 766 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 50% of 46)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 92% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 98% of 476)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 52)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRLWGRN1CORGIIprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $3——Broncos $6.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $27——Rams $1.0K
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $2Cardinals $11K——
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $35——Under $250