Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1S-WorksSilentShark
Record (consensus markets)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)58% (150–110, n=260)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$3.7M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #75PM monthly #876
Sides with the consensus52% (71 of 137 open)50% (1 of 2 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1S-WorksSilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.0K—Over $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.0K—Over $92
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $4
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
same side · consensus No
Yes $315—Yes $75