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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RelaccsedCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (979–715, n=1694)62% (393–246, n=639)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)
Consensus PnL$10K$4.5M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus44% (17 of 39 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position38% (5 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=459———
Settled positions, side won54% of 1193 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 11% of 383)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 37% of 166)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 57% of 156)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 92% of 488)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRelaccsedCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $125——Commanders $32K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $18——Commanders $2.3K
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $5——Commanders $23