← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Richidd | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (52–54, n=106) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #217 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (73 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 68 at avg 58¢, ROI +31% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 60% of 5) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 79% of 14) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 90% of 31) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 83% of 18) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Richidd | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | No $102K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | No $10K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $17 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20 | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $568 | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.7K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $523 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |