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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Roflan-ludomanBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)63% (253–151, n=404)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$201K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)73% (79 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won65% of 595 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 8% of 166)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 49% of 51)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 79% of 87)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 96% of 291)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRoflan-ludomanBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Jets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $395
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Raiders $5.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $1.1K