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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RollAwayTheDewCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (405–362, n=767)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$38K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #738PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus41% (9 of 22 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (78 of 108 open)63% (19 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −3 pts, n=14———
Settled positions, side won75% of 540 at avg 55¢, ROI +13%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 61% of 23)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 68% of 181)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 75% of 243)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 90% of 93)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRollAwayTheDewCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $165—Bills $51KRavens $696
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $498—Raiders $171KRaiders $5.8K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $395
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $16—Magic $24K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K