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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ryxon21 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (148–60, n=208) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $133K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #461 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (42 of 53 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (79 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 297 at avg 77¢, ROI +10% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 46% of 24) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 78% of 32) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 95% of 21) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 97% of 220) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ryxon21 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $51 | — | Yes $272K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | — | No $35K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | Yes $37K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $28K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | Yes $72K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | Yes $38K |