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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ScottyNooo00gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)37% (313–542, n=855)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–246, n=639)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$910K$3.5M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (76 of 138 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)85% (52 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=308———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1112 at avg 45¢, ROI −3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 4% of 557)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 32% of 77)0%56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 55% of 44)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 96% of 434)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketScottyNooo00gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10K——No $250K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28——No $118K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $9.3K——Yes $36K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5K——No $34K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——Yes $274K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $40K——Yes $170K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $756——Yes $14K