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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ScottyNooo | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (324–555, n=879) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) |
| Consensus PnL | $910K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (75 of 144 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=308 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 1109 at avg 45¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 4% of 557) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 32% of 76) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 55% of 44) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 96% of 432) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ScottyNooo | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | No $250K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $37 | No $166K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.1K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | No $32K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $270K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $761 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | Yes $6.8K | — | — |