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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ScottyNooo | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (313–542, n=855) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $910K | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (76 of 138 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=308 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1112 at avg 45¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 4% of 557) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 32% of 77) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 55% of 44) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 96% of 434) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ScottyNooo | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10K | — | — | No $250K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | No $118K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $756 | — | — | Yes $14K |