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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Siddhartha1 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (67–56, n=123) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (11 of 12 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 71% (83 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 20) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Siddhartha1 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31K | — | — | Yes $27K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | — | No $407K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | — | Yes $258K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $80K | — | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $11K | — | — | Commanders $10K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $228 | — | — | Yes $11K |